Well it happened again. Today there were about 10 guesses, and I think we guessed around 70% right. The answer was not always Y, unfortunately. This is again, less impressive than it sounds, because, often times the question had been narrowed down to two answer choices, and I could easily be forgetting times when we guessed wrong. Still, we got way better than the expected value of 25% right. We did this by assuming that the answer would not be Y, and also by exploiting regularities in the phrasings of questions. The questions are designed so that there is a parallelism between questions. For instance if W says that A > D, X might be that A < D, thus allowing people to guess before X is even read. Another thing that happened was when there we knew that there were only 3 possible things in a category, the question asked for which of the following is not in the category, and they were all in a row, thus making the answer Z. A final thing that happened was when concepts that come in pairs that always had one come before the other allowing an easy guess of W or X.
Once again, the same emotions, the same misremembering, the same results.
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